Development of a climate change vulnerability assessment method and risk analysis for Pinerolo’s alpine municipalities (Città Metropolitana di Torino)
Goal:
The objective of the activity was the development of vulnerability assessment and risk analysis methods for the effects of climate change at the local scale for the municipalities of the Metropolitan City of Turin in the Homogeneous Zone of Pinerolese. The activity was carried out on behalf of the Inter-University Department of Science, Project and Territorial Policies (DIST) of the Polytechnic of Turin within the European project Interreg – ALCOTRA “ARTACLIM – Adaptation and Resilience of the Alpine Territories in the face of climate change” (http://artaclim.eu/index.php/it/ ). The preliminary assessments on the risk analysis will support the technicians of the Metropolitan City of Turin and the local authorities of the Pinerolese territories, to undertake projects to increase the resilience of territories related to the impacts of climate change or for assessments preparatory to the development of sectoral plans.
Carried out activities:
The carried out activities have focused on:
- the identification of climatic hazards through the selection of indicators relating to changes in the precipitation and temperature regime in relation to the analyzed sectors such as settlement systems, infrastructure, summer and winter tourism, agriculture, forests and biodiversity. Climate hazard indicators included hydrogeological hazards, floods, landslides, avalanches, fires (drought) and heat waves. The observed climate has been analysed through local weather data while the future expected climate anomalies due to climate change were considered through simulation with high resolution models. In particular, it has been used two different IPCC scenarios (RCP 4.5 ed 8.5) and it has been considered different future periods;
- the definition of the exposed samples according to the analyzed territory starting from the urban, socio-economic and natural systems considered within project (for example, the settlement system, infrastructures, winter and summer tourism, agriculture, forests and biodiversity;
- the identification of sensitivity and adaptive capacity indicators based on the selected exposed samples and on the availability of data and information.
- the calculation of potential risk levels showed through a IT platform developed during the project that can also be used by users, as a tool to support decision-making processes and urban and territorial planning.
Dataclime functions:
Dataclime platform gives the possibility to download maps and times series of climate hazard indicators for the observed climate and for the expected future anomalies using high resolution climate projections developed by CMCC and climate projections built by other programs and projects.
Bibliography:
https://www.cmcc.it/article/alps-new-insights-and-strategies-for-adaptation
Marta, E., Guglielmo, R., Giuliana, B. et al. Past and future hydrogeological risk assessment under climate change conditions over urban settlements and infrastructure systems: the case of a sub-regional area of Piedmont, Italy. Nat Hazards 102, 275–305 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-020-03925-w